Model line
Arkansas −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas 61%
Projected tempo
72.8
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Arkansas a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida offense vs Arkansas defense
| Florida O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs Florida defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
