Model line
Alabama −8.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama 81%
Projected tempo
73.3
possessions
Site
Alabama home
19%Win probability81%
The model makes Alabama a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vanderbilt offense vs Alabama defense
| Vanderbilt O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#78 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 55.3#36 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 13.5#15 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 31.2#161 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 38.1#101 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 7.4#27 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 56.4#82 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 56.9#34 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 35.6#88 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 78.9#5 | FT% | — |
| 44.2#87 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs Vanderbilt defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Vanderbilt D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #7870.4 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #7149.0 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #11617.7 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #22931.5 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #29639.5 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #4412.4 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #4546.8 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #6649.0 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #9632.6 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #24337.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vanderbilt
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Nebraska19 | L 72–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | McNeese St.99 | W 78–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Arkansas23 | L 75–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Florida2 | W 91–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tennessee11 | W 75–68 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
