Model line
Florida −17.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida 97%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Florida home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Florida a 17.3-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ole Miss offense vs Florida defense
| Ole Miss O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#189 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 50.4#219 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 14.0#23 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 28.3#256 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 33.0#236 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 7.9#54 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 50.2#240 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 50.8#219 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 33.2#218 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 74.9#87 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#260 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Florida offense vs Ole Miss defense
| Florida O | Stat | Ole Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #18968.3 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #12950.5 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #19616.4 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #28632.6 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #31441.2 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #2712.9 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #30557.4 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #13150.8 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #14533.4 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #8142.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ole Miss
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arkansas23 | L 90–93 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Alabama16 | W 80–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgia40 | W 76–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Texas10 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | South Carolina91 | L 61–64 |
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
