Model line
Texas −0.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 50%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Mississippi St. home
50%Win probability50%
The model makes Texas a 0.1-point favorite, winning about 50 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Texas O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Mississippi St. offense vs Texas defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
