Model line
Tennessee −5.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee 71%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Tennessee home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Tennessee a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama offense vs Tennessee defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Tennessee offense vs Alabama defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
