Model line
Florida −16.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida 96%
Projected tempo
72.9
possessions
Site
Florida home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Florida a 16.8-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia offense vs Florida defense
| Georgia O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7#8 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 54.2#62 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 14.3#30 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 34.9#49 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 36.9#132 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 9.8#221 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 48.1#283 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 57.0#30 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 33.8#183 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 75.0#81 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#83 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Florida offense vs Georgia defense
| Florida O | Stat | Georgia D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #873.7 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #13250.6 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #7818.4 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #33734.9 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #6330.2 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #1014.9 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #6948.1 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #12450.7 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #16033.6 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #24737.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Louis60 | L 77–102 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 72–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 102–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Alabama16 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Carolina91 | W 87–68 |
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
