Model line
Oklahoma −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oklahoma 70%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Oklahoma home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Oklahoma a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Texas O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Oklahoma offense vs Texas defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
