Model line
Mississippi St. −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mississippi St. 70%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Mississippi St. home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Mississippi St. a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
LSU offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| LSU O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Mississippi St. offense vs LSU defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
