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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Missouri · #34 · SEC · 0–0Auburn · #27 · SEC · 0–0Sat, Feb 20 · 12:00 PM ETESPNNeville Arena · Auburn, AL
Model line
Auburn −7.8
Win probability
Auburn 80%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Auburn home
20%Win probability80%

The model makes Auburn a 7.8-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Missouri offense vs Auburn defense

Missouri OStatAuburn D
68.3#187Tempo#13969.1
55.0#39eFG%#28353.5
17.8#260TOV%#21616.1
34.9#50ORB%#23731.7
42.1#29FT rate#17434.9
9.7#210Block%#5811.7
51.2#211Assist%#15451.4
56.4#402P%#22552.7
35.0#1163P%#32336.5
69.1#296FT%—
36.4#2413PA rate#17539.6

Auburn offense vs Missouri defense

Auburn OStatMissouri D
69.1#139Tempo#18768.3
52.3#130eFG%#18751.5
14.7#48TOV%#18616.5
37.5#11ORB%#24231.7
44.2#8FT rate#19735.5
12.6#351Block%#10810.6
46.9#304Assist%#18152.5
53.3#1142P%#5548.7
33.9#1773P%#34136.8
74.5#102FT%—
40.2#1653PA rate#7243.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Missouri

Fri, Mar 20NMiami FL13L 66–80
Thu, Mar 12NKentucky20L 72–78
Sat, Mar 7HArkansas23L 84–88
Tue, Mar 3AOklahoma22L 64–80
Sat, Feb 28AMississippi St.70W 88–64

Auburn

Sun, Apr 5NTulsa104W 92–86
Thu, Apr 2NIllinois St.116W 88–66
Wed, Mar 25HNevada77W 75–69
Sun, Mar 22HSeattle115W 91–85
Tue, Mar 17HSouth Alabama244W 78–67