Model line
Texas −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 86%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Texas home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Texas a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M offense vs Texas defense
| Texas A&M O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#26 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 53.8#75 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 14.7#52 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 32.0#125 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 37.1#128 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 11.7#334 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 61.2#24 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 53.8#90 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 35.9#64 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 73.8#143 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#43 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Texas A&M defense
| Texas O | Stat | Texas A&M D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #2672.0 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #14250.7 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #8118.4 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #29833.0 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #19135.3 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #2328.5 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #27355.7 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #23652.9 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #5731.8 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #10141.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Houston4 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 63–50 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 63–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | LSU55 | W 94–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Kentucky20 | W 96–85 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
