Model line
Missouri −7.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri 77%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Missouri home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Missouri a 7.0-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oklahoma offense vs Missouri defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Missouri offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
