Model line
Georgia −5.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Georgia 71%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Georgia home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Georgia a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kentucky offense vs Georgia defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Georgia D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #873.7 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #13250.6 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #7818.4 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #33734.9 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #6330.2 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #1014.9 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #6948.1 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #12450.7 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #16033.6 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #24737.6 |
Georgia offense vs Kentucky defense
| Georgia O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7#8 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 54.2#62 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 14.3#30 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 34.9#49 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 36.9#132 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 9.8#221 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 48.1#283 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 57.0#30 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 33.8#183 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 75.0#81 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#83 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
Georgia
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Louis60 | L 77–102 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 72–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 102–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Alabama16 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Carolina91 | W 87–68 |
