Model line
Arkansas −8.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas 80%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Arkansas a 8.1-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Auburn offense vs Arkansas defense
| Auburn O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#139 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 52.3#130 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 14.7#48 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 37.5#11 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 44.2#8 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 12.6#351 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 46.9#304 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 53.3#114 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 33.9#177 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 74.5#102 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#165 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs Auburn defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Auburn D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #13969.1 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #28353.5 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #21616.1 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #23731.7 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #17434.9 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #5811.7 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #15451.4 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #22552.7 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #32336.5 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #17539.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Auburn
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Tulsa104 | W 92–86 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 88–66 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Nevada77 | W 75–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Seattle115 | W 91–85 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | South Alabama244 | W 78–67 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
