Model line
Florida −16.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida 96%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Florida home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Florida a 16.6-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Missouri offense vs Florida defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Florida offense vs Missouri defense
| Florida O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
