Model line
Texas −7.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 77%
Projected tempo
72.7
possessions
Site
Texas home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Texas a 7.1-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama offense vs Texas defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Alabama defense
| Texas O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
