Model line
Arkansas −10.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas 86%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Arkansas a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ole Miss offense vs Arkansas defense
| Ole Miss O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#189 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 50.4#219 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 14.0#23 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 28.3#256 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 33.0#236 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 7.9#54 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 50.2#240 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 50.8#219 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 33.2#218 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 74.9#87 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#260 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs Ole Miss defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Ole Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #18968.3 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #12950.5 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #19616.4 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #28632.6 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #31441.2 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #2712.9 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #30557.4 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #13150.8 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #14533.4 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #8142.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ole Miss
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arkansas23 | L 90–93 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Alabama16 | W 80–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgia40 | W 76–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Texas10 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | South Carolina91 | L 61–64 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
