Model line
Kentucky −19.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky 98%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Kentucky a 19.0-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Carolina offense vs Kentucky defense
| South Carolina O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#200 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 50.3#226 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 14.5#43 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 27.2#291 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 36.7#140 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 11.1#310 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 52.9#168 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 53.2#124 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 31.1#317 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 78.1#17 | FT% | — |
| 44.4#81 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs South Carolina defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | South Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #20068.0 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #19251.6 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #31614.6 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #26532.1 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #15334.0 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #3386.2 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #30257.2 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #26553.7 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #5631.8 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #29735.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Carolina
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 74–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 64–61 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Tennessee11 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia40 | L 68–87 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Kentucky20 | L 63–72 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
