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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Florida · #2 · SEC · 0–0Auburn · #27 · SEC · 0–0Tue, Feb 9 · 7:00 PM ETESPN2Neville Arena · Auburn, AL
Model line
Auburn −1.6
Win probability
Auburn 56%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Auburn home
44%Win probability56%

The model makes Auburn a 1.6-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Florida offense vs Auburn defense

Florida OStatAuburn D
72.4#16Tempo#13969.1
54.1#65eFG%#28353.5
16.3#154TOV%#21616.1
43.5#2ORB%#23731.7
38.6#86FT rate#17434.9
7.2#18Block%#5811.7
54.5#125Assist%#15451.4
58.4#172P%#22552.7
31.2#3143P%#32336.5
71.1#233FT%—
36.9#2323PA rate#17539.6

Auburn offense vs Florida defense

Auburn OStatFlorida D
69.1#139Tempo#1672.4
52.3#130eFG%#1045.9
14.7#48TOV%#27015.2
37.5#11ORB%#724.6
44.2#8FT rate#14433.8
12.6#351Block%#3412.6
46.9#304Assist%#1844.3
53.3#1142P%#544.6
33.9#1773P%#7132.2
74.5#102FT%—
40.2#1653PA rate#33633.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Florida

Sun, Mar 22NIowa41L 72–73
Fri, Mar 20NPrairie View A&M301W 114–55
Sat, Mar 14NVanderbilt21L 74–91
Fri, Mar 13NKentucky20W 71–63
Sat, Mar 7AKentucky20W 84–77

Auburn

Sun, Apr 5NTulsa104W 92–86
Thu, Apr 2NIllinois St.116W 88–66
Wed, Mar 25HNevada77W 75–69
Sun, Mar 22HSeattle115W 91–85
Tue, Mar 17HSouth Alabama244W 78–67