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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Texas A&M · #33 · SEC · 0–0Mississippi St. · #70 · SEC · 0–0Sat, Feb 6 · 6:00 PM ETSEC NetworkHumphrey Coliseum · Starkville, MS
Model line
Mississippi St. −2.4
Win probability
Mississippi St. 60%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Mississippi St. home
40%Win probability60%

The model makes Mississippi St. a 2.4-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Texas A&M offense vs Mississippi St. defense

Texas A&M OStatMississippi St. D
72.0#26Tempo#3271.5
53.8#75eFG%#15250.9
14.7#52TOV%#36112.8
32.0#125ORB%#18930.7
37.1#128FT rate#11232.3
11.7#334Block%#8511.1
61.2#24Assist%#17252.1
53.8#902P%#14051.0
35.9#643P%#17533.9
73.8#143FT%—
46.2#433PA rate#18239.5

Mississippi St. offense vs Texas A&M defense

Mississippi St. OStatTexas A&M D
71.5#32Tempo#2672.0
51.5#172eFG%#14250.7
16.1#146TOV%#8118.4
29.8#209ORB%#29833.0
30.7#288FT rate#19135.3
11.0#303Block%#2328.5
45.1#333Assist%#27355.7
53.4#1102P%#23652.9
32.4#2613P%#5731.8
66.0#353FT%—
40.1#1683PA rate#10141.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Texas A&M

Sat, Mar 21NHouston4L 57–88
Thu, Mar 19NSaint Mary's74W 63–50
Thu, Mar 12NOklahoma22L 63–83
Sat, Mar 7ALSU55W 94–91
Tue, Mar 3HKentucky20W 96–85

Mississippi St.

Wed, Mar 11NAuburn27L 61–79
Sat, Mar 7HGeorgia40L 96–102
Tue, Mar 3AFlorida2L 74–108
Sat, Feb 28HMissouri34L 64–88
Wed, Feb 25AAlabama16L 75–100