Model line
Missouri −5.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri 70%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Missouri home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Missouri a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee offense vs Missouri defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Missouri offense vs Tennessee defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
