Model line
Mississippi St. −2.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mississippi St. 60%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Mississippi St. home
40%Win probability60%
The model makes Mississippi St. a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Missouri offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Mississippi St. offense vs Missouri defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
