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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Georgia · #40 · SEC · 0–0Tennessee · #11 · SEC · 0–0Wed, Feb 3 · 7:00 PM ETESPN2Food City Center · Knoxville, TN
Model line
Tennessee −10.7
Win probability
Tennessee 87%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Tennessee home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes Tennessee a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Georgia offense vs Tennessee defense

Georgia OStatTennessee D
73.7#8Tempo#23167.3
54.2#62eFG%#3447.5
14.3#30TOV%#19816.4
34.9#49ORB%#5627.7
36.9#132FT rate#21035.9
9.8#221Block%#8011.2
48.1#283Assist%#2645.3
57.0#302P%#6849.2
33.8#1833P%#1730.3
75.0#81FT%—
44.3#833PA rate#3644.7

Tennessee offense vs Georgia defense

Tennessee OStatGeorgia D
67.3#231Tempo#873.7
51.8#157eFG%#13250.6
17.4#230TOV%#7818.4
45.1#1ORB%#33734.9
38.1#100FT rate#6330.2
9.3#169Block%#1014.9
59.9#34Assist%#6948.1
52.3#1602P%#12450.7
33.8#1853P%#16033.6
69.4#290FT%—
31.8#3323PA rate#24737.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Georgia

Thu, Mar 19NSaint Louis60L 77–102
Thu, Mar 12NOle Miss49L 72–76
Sat, Mar 7AMississippi St.70W 102–96
Tue, Mar 3HAlabama16W 98–88
Sat, Feb 28HSouth Carolina91W 87–68

Tennessee

Sun, Mar 29NMichigan24L 62–95
Fri, Mar 27NIowa St.6W 76–62
Sun, Mar 22NVirginia14W 79–72
Fri, Mar 20NMiami OH108W 78–56
Fri, Mar 13NVanderbilt21L 68–75