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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Florida · #2 · SEC · 0–0Tennessee · #11 · SEC · 0–0Sat, Jan 30 · 12:00 AM ETFood City Center · Knoxville, TN
Model line
Tennessee −3.0
Win probability
Tennessee 63%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Tennessee home
38%Win probability63%

The model makes Tennessee a 3.0-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Florida offense vs Tennessee defense

Florida OStatTennessee D
72.4#16Tempo#23167.3
54.1#65eFG%#3447.5
16.3#154TOV%#19816.4
43.5#2ORB%#5627.7
38.6#86FT rate#21035.9
7.2#18Block%#8011.2
54.5#125Assist%#2645.3
58.4#172P%#6849.2
31.2#3143P%#1730.3
71.1#233FT%—
36.9#2323PA rate#3644.7

Tennessee offense vs Florida defense

Tennessee OStatFlorida D
67.3#231Tempo#1672.4
51.8#157eFG%#1045.9
17.4#230TOV%#27015.2
45.1#1ORB%#724.6
38.1#100FT rate#14433.8
9.3#169Block%#3412.6
59.9#34Assist%#1844.3
52.3#1602P%#544.6
33.8#1853P%#7132.2
69.4#290FT%—
31.8#3323PA rate#33633.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Florida

Sun, Mar 22NIowa41L 72–73
Fri, Mar 20NPrairie View A&M301W 114–55
Sat, Mar 14NVanderbilt21L 74–91
Fri, Mar 13NKentucky20W 71–63
Sat, Mar 7AKentucky20W 84–77

Tennessee

Sun, Mar 29NMichigan24L 62–95
Fri, Mar 27NIowa St.6W 76–62
Sun, Mar 22NVirginia14W 79–72
Fri, Mar 20NMiami OH108W 78–56
Fri, Mar 13NVanderbilt21L 68–75