Model line
Missouri −10.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri 87%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Missouri home
14%Win probability87%
The model makes Missouri a 10.5-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ole Miss offense vs Missouri defense
| Ole Miss O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#189 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 50.4#219 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 14.0#23 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 28.3#256 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 33.0#236 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 7.9#54 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 50.2#240 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 50.8#219 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 33.2#218 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 74.9#87 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#260 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Missouri offense vs Ole Miss defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Ole Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #18968.3 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #12950.5 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #19616.4 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #28632.6 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #31441.2 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #2712.9 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #30557.4 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #13150.8 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #14533.4 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #8142.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ole Miss
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arkansas23 | L 90–93 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Alabama16 | W 80–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgia40 | W 76–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Texas10 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | South Carolina91 | L 61–64 |
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
