Model line
Arkansas −13.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas 92%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Arkansas a 13.3-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi St. offense vs Arkansas defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
