Model line
Texas −3.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 63%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
South Carolina home
63%Win probability37%
The model makes Texas a 3.2-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas offense vs South Carolina defense
| Texas O | Stat | South Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #20068.0 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #19251.6 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #31614.6 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #26532.1 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #15334.0 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #3386.2 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #30257.2 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #26553.7 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #5631.8 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #29735.8 |
South Carolina offense vs Texas defense
| South Carolina O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#200 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 50.3#226 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 14.5#43 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 27.2#291 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 36.7#140 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 11.1#310 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 52.9#168 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 53.2#124 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 31.1#317 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 78.1#17 | FT% | — |
| 44.4#81 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
South Carolina
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 74–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 64–61 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Tennessee11 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia40 | L 68–87 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Kentucky20 | L 63–72 |
