Model line
Auburn −13.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Auburn 92%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Auburn home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Auburn a 13.4-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi St. offense vs Auburn defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Auburn D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #13969.1 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #28353.5 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #21616.1 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #23731.7 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #17434.9 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #5811.7 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #15451.4 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #22552.7 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #32336.5 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #17539.6 |
Auburn offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Auburn O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#139 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 52.3#130 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 14.7#48 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 37.5#11 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 44.2#8 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 12.6#351 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 46.9#304 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 53.3#114 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 33.9#177 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 74.5#102 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#165 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
Auburn
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Tulsa104 | W 92–86 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 88–66 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Nevada77 | W 75–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Seattle115 | W 91–85 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | South Alabama244 | W 78–67 |
