Model line
Missouri −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri 70%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Missouri home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Missouri a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama offense vs Missouri defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Missouri offense vs Alabama defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
