Model line
Texas −9.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 83%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Texas home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes Texas a 9.1-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas offense vs Texas defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Arkansas defense
| Texas O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
