Model line
Kentucky −7.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky 77%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Kentucky a 7.0-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee offense vs Kentucky defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs Tennessee defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
