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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Florida · #2 · SEC · 0–0Georgia · #40 · SEC · 0–0Sat, Jan 23 · 4:00 PM ETStegeman Coliseum · Athens, GA
Model line
Georgia −0.0
Win probability
Georgia 50%
Projected tempo
72.9
possessions
Site
Georgia home
50%Win probability50%

The model sees this game as a coin flip.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Florida offense vs Georgia defense

Florida OStatGeorgia D
72.4#16Tempo#873.7
54.1#65eFG%#13250.6
16.3#154TOV%#7818.4
43.5#2ORB%#33734.9
38.6#86FT rate#6330.2
7.2#18Block%#1014.9
54.5#125Assist%#6948.1
58.4#172P%#12450.7
31.2#3143P%#16033.6
71.1#233FT%—
36.9#2323PA rate#24737.6

Georgia offense vs Florida defense

Georgia OStatFlorida D
73.7#8Tempo#1672.4
54.2#62eFG%#1045.9
14.3#30TOV%#27015.2
34.9#49ORB%#724.6
36.9#132FT rate#14433.8
9.8#221Block%#3412.6
48.1#283Assist%#1844.3
57.0#302P%#544.6
33.8#1833P%#7132.2
75.0#81FT%—
44.3#833PA rate#33633.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Florida

Sun, Mar 22NIowa41L 72–73
Fri, Mar 20NPrairie View A&M301W 114–55
Sat, Mar 14NVanderbilt21L 74–91
Fri, Mar 13NKentucky20W 71–63
Sat, Mar 7AKentucky20W 84–77

Georgia

Thu, Mar 19NSaint Louis60L 77–102
Thu, Mar 12NOle Miss49L 72–76
Sat, Mar 7AMississippi St.70W 102–96
Tue, Mar 3HAlabama16W 98–88
Sat, Feb 28HSouth Carolina91W 87–68