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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

South Carolina · #91 · SEC · 0–0Mississippi St. · #70 · SEC · 0–0Sat, Jan 23 · 1:00 PM ETSEC NetworkHumphrey Coliseum · Starkville, MS
Model line
Mississippi St. −9.4
Win probability
Mississippi St. 84%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Mississippi St. home
16%Win probability84%

The model makes Mississippi St. a 9.4-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

South Carolina offense vs Mississippi St. defense

South Carolina OStatMississippi St. D
68.0#200Tempo#3271.5
50.3#226eFG%#15250.9
14.5#43TOV%#36112.8
27.2#291ORB%#18930.7
36.7#140FT rate#11232.3
11.1#310Block%#8511.1
52.9#168Assist%#17252.1
53.2#1242P%#14051.0
31.1#3173P%#17533.9
78.1#17FT%—
44.4#813PA rate#18239.5

Mississippi St. offense vs South Carolina defense

Mississippi St. OStatSouth Carolina D
71.5#32Tempo#20068.0
51.5#172eFG%#19251.6
16.1#146TOV%#31614.6
29.8#209ORB%#26532.1
30.7#288FT rate#15334.0
11.0#303Block%#3386.2
45.1#333Assist%#30257.2
53.4#1102P%#26553.7
32.4#2613P%#5631.8
66.0#353FT%—
40.1#1683PA rate#29735.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

South Carolina

Wed, Mar 11NOklahoma22L 74–86
Sat, Mar 7AOle Miss49W 64–61
Tue, Mar 3HTennessee11L 59–78
Sat, Feb 28AGeorgia40L 68–87
Tue, Feb 24HKentucky20L 63–72

Mississippi St.

Wed, Mar 11NAuburn27L 61–79
Sat, Mar 7HGeorgia40L 96–102
Tue, Mar 3AFlorida2L 74–108
Sat, Feb 28HMissouri34L 64–88
Wed, Feb 25AAlabama16L 75–100