Model line
LSU −5.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
LSU 71%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
LSU home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes LSU a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Auburn offense vs LSU defense
| Auburn O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#139 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 52.3#130 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 14.7#48 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 37.5#11 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 44.2#8 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 12.6#351 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 46.9#304 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 53.3#114 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 33.9#177 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 74.5#102 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#165 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
LSU offense vs Auburn defense
| LSU O | Stat | Auburn D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #13969.1 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #28353.5 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #21616.1 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #23731.7 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #17434.9 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #5811.7 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #15451.4 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #22552.7 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #32336.5 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #17539.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Auburn
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Tulsa104 | W 92–86 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 88–66 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Nevada77 | W 75–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Seattle115 | W 91–85 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | South Alabama244 | W 78–67 |
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
