Model line
Alabama −10.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama 85%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Alabama home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Alabama a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oklahoma offense vs Alabama defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
