Model line
Alabama −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama 65%
Projected tempo
72.1
possessions
Site
South Carolina home
65%Win probability36%
The model makes Alabama a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama offense vs South Carolina defense
| Alabama O | Stat | South Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #20068.0 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #19251.6 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #31614.6 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #26532.1 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #15334.0 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #3386.2 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #30257.2 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #26553.7 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #5631.8 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #29735.8 |
South Carolina offense vs Alabama defense
| South Carolina O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#200 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 50.3#226 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 14.5#43 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 27.2#291 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 36.7#140 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 11.1#310 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 52.9#168 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 53.2#124 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 31.1#317 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 78.1#17 | FT% | — |
| 44.4#81 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
South Carolina
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 74–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 64–61 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Tennessee11 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia40 | L 68–87 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Kentucky20 | L 63–72 |
