Model line
Mississippi St. −2.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mississippi St. 59%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Mississippi St. home
41%Win probability59%
The model makes Mississippi St. a 2.1-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kentucky offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Mississippi St. offense vs Kentucky defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
