Model line
Arkansas −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas 84%
Projected tempo
72.8
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Arkansas a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia offense vs Arkansas defense
| Georgia O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7#8 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 54.2#62 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 14.3#30 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 34.9#49 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 36.9#132 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 9.8#221 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 48.1#283 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 57.0#30 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 33.8#183 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 75.0#81 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#83 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs Georgia defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Georgia D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #873.7 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #13250.6 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #7818.4 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #33734.9 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #6330.2 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #1014.9 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #6948.1 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #12450.7 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #16033.6 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #24737.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Louis60 | L 77–102 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 72–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 102–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Alabama16 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Carolina91 | W 87–68 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
