Model line
LSU −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
LSU 62%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
LSU home
39%Win probability62%
The model makes LSU a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas offense vs LSU defense
| Texas O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
LSU offense vs Texas defense
| LSU O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
