Model line
Tennessee −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tennessee 78%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Tennessee home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Tennessee a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas offense vs Tennessee defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Tennessee offense vs Arkansas defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
