Model line
Kentucky −5.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky 72%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Kentucky a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vanderbilt offense vs Kentucky defense
| Vanderbilt O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#78 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 55.3#36 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 13.5#15 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 31.2#161 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 38.1#101 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 7.4#27 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 56.4#82 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 56.9#34 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 35.6#88 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 78.9#5 | FT% | — |
| 44.2#87 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs Vanderbilt defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Vanderbilt D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #7870.4 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #7149.0 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #11617.7 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #22931.5 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #29639.5 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #4412.4 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #4546.8 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #6649.0 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #9632.6 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #24337.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vanderbilt
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Nebraska19 | L 72–74 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | McNeese St.99 | W 78–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Arkansas23 | L 75–86 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Florida2 | W 91–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Tennessee11 | W 75–68 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
