Model line
Georgia −12.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Georgia 90%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Georgia home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Georgia a 12.2-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi St. offense vs Georgia defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Georgia D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #873.7 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #13250.6 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #7818.4 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #33734.9 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #6330.2 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #1014.9 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #6948.1 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #12450.7 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #16033.6 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #24737.6 |
Georgia offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Georgia O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7#8 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 54.2#62 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 14.3#30 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 34.9#49 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 36.9#132 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 9.8#221 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 48.1#283 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 57.0#30 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 33.8#183 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 75.0#81 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#83 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
Georgia
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Louis60 | L 77–102 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 72–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 102–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Alabama16 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Carolina91 | W 87–68 |
