Model line
Alabama −3.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama 63%
Projected tempo
74.0
possessions
Site
Alabama home
37%Win probability63%
The model makes Alabama a 3.2-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida offense vs Alabama defense
| Florida O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs Florida defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
