Model line
Texas −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 84%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Texas home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes Texas a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Auburn offense vs Texas defense
| Auburn O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#139 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 52.3#130 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 14.7#48 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 37.5#11 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 44.2#8 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 12.6#351 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 46.9#304 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 53.3#114 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 33.9#177 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 74.5#102 | FT% | — |
| 40.2#165 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Auburn defense
| Texas O | Stat | Auburn D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #13969.1 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #28353.5 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #21616.1 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #23731.7 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #17434.9 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #5811.7 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #15451.4 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #22552.7 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #32336.5 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #17539.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Auburn
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Tulsa104 | W 92–86 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Illinois St.116 | W 88–66 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Nevada77 | W 75–69 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Seattle115 | W 91–85 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | South Alabama244 | W 78–67 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
