Model line
Alabama −11.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama 89%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
Alabama home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Alabama a 11.7-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ole Miss offense vs Alabama defense
| Ole Miss O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#189 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 50.4#219 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 14.0#23 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 28.3#256 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 33.0#236 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 7.9#54 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 50.2#240 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 50.8#219 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 33.2#218 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 74.9#87 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#260 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs Ole Miss defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Ole Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #18968.3 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #12950.5 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #19616.4 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #28632.6 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #31441.2 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #2712.9 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #30557.4 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #13150.8 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #14533.4 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #8142.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ole Miss
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arkansas23 | L 90–93 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Alabama16 | W 80–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgia40 | W 76–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Texas10 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | South Carolina91 | L 61–64 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
