Model line
Oklahoma −14.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oklahoma 93%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Oklahoma home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Oklahoma a 14.0-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mississippi St. offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Oklahoma offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
