Model line
LSU −3.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
LSU 65%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
LSU home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes LSU a 3.7-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee offense vs LSU defense
| Tennessee O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#231 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 51.8#157 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 17.4#230 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 45.1#1 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 38.1#100 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 9.3#169 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 59.9#34 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 52.3#160 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 33.8#185 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 69.4#290 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#332 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
LSU offense vs Tennessee defense
| LSU O | Stat | Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #23167.3 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #3447.5 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #19816.4 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #5627.7 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #21035.9 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #8011.2 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #2645.3 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #6849.2 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #1730.3 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #3644.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Michigan24 | L 62–95 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Iowa St.6 | W 76–62 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Virginia14 | W 79–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami OH108 | W 78–56 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 68–75 |
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
