Model line
Arkansas −1.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas 57%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
South Carolina home
57%Win probability43%
The model makes Arkansas a 1.7-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas offense vs South Carolina defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | South Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #20068.0 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #19251.6 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #31614.6 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #26532.1 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #15334.0 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #3386.2 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #30257.2 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #26553.7 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #5631.8 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #29735.8 |
South Carolina offense vs Arkansas defense
| South Carolina O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#200 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 50.3#226 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 14.5#43 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 27.2#291 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 36.7#140 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 11.1#310 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 52.9#168 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 53.2#124 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 31.1#317 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 78.1#17 | FT% | — |
| 44.4#81 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
South Carolina
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 74–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 64–61 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Tennessee11 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia40 | L 68–87 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Kentucky20 | L 63–72 |
