Model line
Georgia −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Georgia 62%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Georgia home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Georgia a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas offense vs Georgia defense
| Texas O | Stat | Georgia D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #873.7 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #13250.6 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #7818.4 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #33734.9 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #6330.2 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #1014.9 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #6948.1 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #12450.7 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #16033.6 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #24737.6 |
Georgia offense vs Texas defense
| Georgia O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7#8 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 54.2#62 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 14.3#30 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 34.9#49 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 36.9#132 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 9.8#221 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 48.1#283 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 57.0#30 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 33.8#183 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 75.0#81 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#83 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
Georgia
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Louis60 | L 77–102 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 72–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 102–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Alabama16 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Carolina91 | W 87–68 |
