Model line
Kentucky −10.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky 87%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Kentucky a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Ole Miss offense vs Kentucky defense
| Ole Miss O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#189 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 50.4#219 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 14.0#23 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 28.3#256 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 33.0#236 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 7.9#54 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 50.2#240 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 50.8#219 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 33.2#218 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 74.9#87 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#260 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs Ole Miss defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Ole Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #18968.3 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #12950.5 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #19616.4 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #28632.6 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #31441.2 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #2712.9 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #30557.4 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #13150.8 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #14533.4 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #8142.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Ole Miss
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arkansas23 | L 90–93 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Alabama16 | W 80–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgia40 | W 76–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Texas10 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | South Carolina91 | L 61–64 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
