Model line
Florida −14.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida 93%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Florida home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Florida a 14.1-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oklahoma offense vs Florida defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Florida offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Florida O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
